March 16, 2004 Email this Print this
License or reprint this articleVALUE ADDED Build a Top-Notch Fund Portfolio by Steven Goldberg  Picking good funds (or stocks) is one part of being a successful investor. But even more important is putting those funds together into bullet-proof portfolios that will afford some protection no matter what the market does. That's what we aim to do at Kiplinger's. For the last dozen years, our April or May cover story has featured our take on the nation's best stock and bond funds -- and assembled them into portfolios tailored to your goals, whether long-term, medium-term or short-term. (You can access our portfolio recommendations year-round on Kiplinger.com.)
If you followed our fund recommendations from last May's issue, you're sitting pretty. Our average stock fund returned 53%. That's 11 percentage points better than the S&P 500. But we're not standing still. Indeed, because of market gyrations and fund closings, we're making more changes than we previously ever have for the coming 12 months.
Most of our funds slaughtered the S&P 500. Royce Opportunity soared 101% compared with 70% for the small cap Russell 2000 index. Masters' Select International returned 68% and beat Morgan Stanley's EAFE index by 12 percentage points. Our worst pure stock fund, ABN AMRO Montag and Caldwell Growth, still returned 27%. Our recommended bond funds likewise shined, returning an average of 12% -- seven percentage points better than the Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond index.
Our model portfolios performed just as we would have hoped in a bull market. The long-term portfolio returned 59%, while the medium-term portfolio rose 47%. The short-term portfolio, with 40% in bond funds, still earned a robust 31%.
Now for the changes
We're dumping Royce Opportunity because we think the tiny tech stocks that did so well for it are about out of steam. We're replacing Fidelity Small Cap Stock with Century Small Cap Select because we think the latter, with fewer assets, is a stronger choice. We're also ratcheting up our investments in blue chip stock funds and foreign stock funds -- because that's where the values are.
With rates hovering near historic lows, we're suggesting you put less of your money in long-term bond funds. For the first time in many years, we're not recommending any high yield "junk" bond funds or Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) funds because those sectors have overheated. Third Avenue Real Estate Value invests mainly in real estate operating companies, not REITs. Finally, Merger Fund and T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth, both fine funds, have closed to new investors.
We think the portfolios we've selected will do well in this market. We don't expect the kind of near perfection we achieved in the last 12 months anymore than we expect the market to have another 40%-plus year. But we do expect our portfolios to provide returns that are better than you could achieve with index funds while subjecting you to less market volatility.
The recommendations
For more information on investing timelines and what specific goals fit within each portfolio, see Kiplinger's Fund Portfolios.
| 15% |
TCW Galileo Select Equity 1 |
TGCEX |
| 20% |
Oakmark Fund |
OAKMX |
| 20% |
Legg Mason Opportunity |
LMOPX |
| 25% |
Masters' Select International |
MSILX |
| 10% |
Century Small Cap Select |
CSMVX |
| 10% |
Third Avenue Real Estate Value |
TAREX |
|
| 15% |
Marsico Growth |
MGRIX |
| 20% |
Oakmark Fund |
OAKMX |
| 20% |
Masters' Select International |
MSILX |
| 5% |
Century Small Cap Select |
CSMVX |
| 10% |
Aegis Value |
AVALX |
| 10% |
Third Avenue Real Estate Value |
TAREX |
| 10% |
Loomis Sayles Bond |
LSBRX |
| 10% |
Harbor Bond* |
HABDX |
|
*In a taxable account, substitute Vanguard Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt (VWITX).
| 15% |
T. Rowe Price Growth Stock |
PRGFX |
| 15% |
Selected American Shares |
SLASX |
| 10% |
Masters' Select International |
MSILX |
| 10% |
Aegis Value |
AVALX |
| 10% |
Third Avenue Real Estate |
TAREX |
| 10% |
Fidelity Floating Rate High Income |
FFRHX |
| 30% |
Harbor Bond |
HABDX |
|
|