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| | | | It came down to the wire, but Bill Miller extended his winning streak over the Standard and Poor’s 500-stock index.
Including dividends, Miller’s Legg Mason Value ended 2004 up about 12%, compared with an 11% gain for the S&P 500. |
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January 11, 2005 Email this Print this
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FUNDS Unlucky 14 by Steven Goldberg
Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait and Seinfeld debuted on NBC the last year that Legg Mason Value trailed the market. But after outpacing Standard & Poor's 500-stock index for 13 straight years, 14 may be manager Bill Miller's unlucky number. Value's 5% gain through mid November trailed the S&P by three percentage points. Miller's consistency has translated into big long-term gains. Value (LMVTX; 800-577-8589) has returned an annualized 17% since 1990, five points per year ahead of the S&P.
Miller's acumen as a manager isn't in question, and he's the first to admit his errors -- such as not jumping into energy stocks in 2004. Moreover, don't expect Miller, 54, to perform last-minute contortions to keep his streak going. He usually holds stocks for four or five years, and he says he's sticking with portfolio anchors Nextel, Amazon.com and IAC/InterActive.
That low turnover, however, may be indicative of Miller's biggest problem: He may have too much on his plate. In total, he's managing some $30 billion in the same style he employs in Value (that includes assets in private accounts). Miller himself suggests that asset bloat may be a problem. In a recent letter to shareholders, he acknowledged that his decision not to trim big positions in Amazon, Nextel and IAC (all of which performed poorly in '04 after advancing sharply in '03) was due in part to concerns that selling might "have created substantial market-impact costs."
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